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Will Gold and Silver Prices Decline Further? Insights from Analysts

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Gold and Silver Prices Today: A Detailed Overview

Current Market Context for Gold and Silver
Gold and silver prices witnessed a rebound on Wednesday, primarily fueled by safe-haven demand. Investors are anxiously awaiting the minutes from the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting and the U.S. jobs report, both of which could provide crucial insights into the central bank’s interest rate trajectory.

Price Movements on Wednesday
As of 9:10 a.m. on Wednesday, MCX Gold December futures were up by 0.20%, trading at approximately ₹1,22,884 per 10 grams. In parallel, MCX Silver December contracts saw a rise of 0.45%, reaching ₹1,55,337 per kg. This upswing came after a concerning trend where both metals had seen declines for three consecutive sessions.

Recent Trends in Gold and Silver
On Tuesday, the market experienced downward pressure, influenced by expectations surrounding potential cuts to Federal Reserve interest rates. Gold futures on MCX had fallen notably, with the December contract slipping ₹1,807, equivalent to a 1.47% decline. Similarly, the price for silver futures dropped by ₹3,660, or 2.36%.

Looking at the broader context, gold has fallen nearly ₹9,000 from its record high of ₹1,30,874 reached on October 17. Silver, too, has dropped significant value—over ₹26,000 from its peak of ₹1,78,100 on October 14.

Market Outlook: What’s Next?
Investors are keenly monitoring upcoming reports, including the September non-farm payrolls data scheduled for release on Thursday. This report had been delayed due to a government shutdown in the U.S. Additionally, insights from the recent Fed meeting are expected to provide clarity about future monetary policy.

The overall sentiment suggests increasing expectations for further Federal Reserve rate cuts, particularly as indications emerge of a weakening U.S. labor market. Fed Governor Christopher Waller recently pointed out that more businesses are considering layoffs in anticipation of slower demand cycles, further impacting market conditions.

Price Forecasts: Downward Trends?

Expert Insights
According to Ponmudi R, CEO of Enrich Money, both gold and silver prices have retreated from their recent highs but continue to maintain key structural supports.

  • Gold’s Support and Resistance Levels
    Specifically for gold, he noted that support lies around ₹1,21,800 to ₹1,21,000, with the recent "hammer" candle reinforcing this demand zone. Immediate resistance levels are seen at ₹1,23,400 and ₹1,24,000.

  • Silver Price Targets
    For silver, predictions are leaning toward a bounce-back to the $52-$53 range, with subsequent targets set higher at $58 and $62. Strong support is identified at $47.60.

Price Volatility and Investment Strategies
Emkay Wealth Management suggests that volatility in silver prices translates into a need for tactical investment strategies. Investors should consider time horizons of six months to a year, particularly during this period of uncertainty. Support levels for silver are noted at US$ 45.60 and US$ 42.00.

Current Market Dynamics: Profit Booking and Trade Relations

After experiencing a brief correction, silver prices currently hover around US$ 48.80 per ounce. This fluctuation can largely be attributed to profit booking activities, along with the easing of trade restrictions between the U.S. and China—particularly regarding critical minerals.

In an ever-changing market landscape, each data point and market shift plays a pivotal role in shaping investor decisions.

Disclaimer

This article is intended for educational purposes only. The views and recommendations reflected herein belong to individual analysts or brokerage firms, not Mint. We advise investors to consult with certified experts prior to making any investment decisions.

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