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Concerned about the Impact of AI on Foreign Policy? You Should Be. — Harvard Gazette

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The Urgent Conversation on AI and Global Policy

Forget the chatter about AI hallucinations; the stakes are far more significant. Bruce Schneier, a respected computer security expert, is raising alarms about the vulnerabilities inherent in AI as it gets integrated into global policymaking. At a recent panel hosted by the Weatherhead Center for International Affairs, Schneier underscored a crucial point: when AI systems gain decision-making power within governments, they become prime targets for hacking.

Power and Vulnerability

“When you empower AI systems to make recommendations for a government,” Schneier asserted, “that opens the door for them to be hacked.” This critical warning highlights a precarious balancing act: while AI has the potential to revolutionize governance, it simultaneously introduces significant security risks. The moment AI starts influencing real-world decisions, the implications of malicious interference increase dramatically, as adversaries see opportunities to exploit these systems.

The Role of AI in Decision-Making

Moderating the panel, Erez Manela, a professor at Harvard, emphasized the need to explore how AI is reshaping global decision-making and diplomatic strategies. As nations begin to leverage AI tools, understanding these dynamics is vital. The intersection of technology and governance poses questions not just about efficiency but about the very fabric of international relations.

Opportunities and Risks

Joining Schneier on the panel was Ofrit Liviatan, a government lecturer with a legal background. Liviatan expressed a more optimistic view, noting the potential benefits large language models can bring to lawmaking. These new-age tools can expedite legislative processes, analyze vast amounts of data, and even reveal loopholes in existing regulations. However, she cautioned that while these advancements hold promise, they could just as easily destabilize international order if misused.

Regulation in Its Infancy

Addressing the regulatory landscape, Liviatan remarked that current frameworks are barely scratching the surface. The European Union’s AI Act, for instance, is an early yet significant attempt to establish guidelines for responsible AI deployment. Still, it faces pushback from innovators who fear it may stifle creativity and progress. “It’s misguided to assume that innovation equates to progress,” she argued, urging for a balance that sets clear expectations and standards without hindering advancement.

AI’s Trustworthiness

Drawing from his expertise, Schneier elaborated on the necessity for AI systems to gain public trust to be effective and equitable in policy-making. He cautioned that malicious state actors are already attempting to manipulate AI training data, such as flooding online information with deliberate disinformation campaigns. With cyber attacks becoming increasingly sophisticated, the integrity of AI outputs must be safeguarded against such manipulations.

The Dark Side of Profit Motives

Carmem Domingues, another panelist and former AI policy adviser, highlighted the risks associated with the commercial forces behind AI technology. Domestic companies could, intentionally or not, undermine public trust by accepting funding from foreign adversaries, thereby skewing the information provided by AI systems. With transaction motivations often shrouded in opacity, users may remain unaware of how bias and misinformation are subtly infused into AI outputs.

Unsettling Observations

Both Schneier and his fellow panelists brought attention to unsettling characteristics present in today’s AI solutions. These range from overconfidence in AI responses to inherent biases resulting from flawed training data. As he pointed out, these issues stem not directly from the technology itself but from the corporate decisions guiding its development. Users must grapple with AI systems that are powerful yet flawed.

The Quest for Ethical AI Governance

Looking ahead, Schneier predicted the emergence of government-backed AI systems, which could operate under fundamentally different principles than their commercial counterparts. Citing the Swiss National Computing Centre’s Apertus as a promising model, he suggested that such systems would prioritize ethical considerations over profit-driven motives. “It won’t upload your data to unknown entities or manipulate you unduly. It will be rooted in public service, not profit,” he concluded.

Through discussions like this, the critical intersection of AI technology and policy becomes clearer. As various stakeholders navigate the evolving landscape, the conversations surrounding ethics, vulnerability, and governance will remain crucial as societies harness the potential of artificial intelligence.

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