Exploring the Open Dialogue on Global Megatrends
On January 30, 2026, Moscow played host to a groundbreaking event—the inaugural Expert Dialogue within the Open Dialogue framework. This forum, organized by the Russia National Centre in collaboration with the Centre for Cross-Industry Expertise "The Third Rome," and supported by the Presidential Executive Office, gathered a diverse array of global experts to examine critical megatrends that are reshaping economic, technological, and social landscapes worldwide.
The Purpose of the Forum
The Open Dialogue initiative aims to serve as a platform where experts can converge to discuss pressing global issues. Speaking at the event, Maksim Oreshkin, Deputy Head of the Russian Executive Administration for Global Trends, emphasized the importance of these discussions as we prepare to navigate the complexities of a rapidly changing world. Key to this endeavor were five major megatrends that Oreshkin presented, illustrating how they will continue to influence societies and industries in the coming decades.
The Shift to Globalisation 2.0
One of the first trends discussed was a transition to what Oreshkin termed "Globalisation 2.0." In this new economic paradigm, the dominance of traditional globalization is fading, making way for a more decentralized model. Countries within the BRICS+ framework are increasingly pivotal, reflecting a shift in the global economy characterized by direct trade and a focus on national-currency settlements.
Oreshkin asserted, “Globalisation hasn’t ended; it has changed." He underscored the reemergence of state, social, and economic sovereignty as vital for competitiveness in a multipolar world. The discussion identified major powers like China, the USA, India, and Russia, while also acknowledging emerging growth centers such as Indonesia and connector countries like the United Arab Emirates.
The Rise of Platformisation and Institutional Automation
A second megatrend involves the rise of platforms and automation, which are playing an influential role across multiple sectors. Oreshkin highlighted how decision-making processes in healthcare, education, and finance are increasingly governed by platforms and algorithms.
“Platform solutions enhance efficiency and reduce transaction costs through self-adjusting algorithms,” Oreshkin explained. He warned that countries lacking technological sovereignty might find themselves at the mercy of external platforms, leading to strategic vulnerabilities.
Transforming the Global Financial System
Transitioning to the third megatrend, Oreshkin focused on the transformative challenges facing the global financial system. Traditional financial models are under significant strain due to rising public debt, increased inequality, and geopolitical fragmentation.
Technologies such as blockchain and artificial intelligence are beginning to offer alternative financial solutions, including decentralized finance (DeFi). Oreshkin remarked, “The traditional model of cross-border payments is under pressure." The implications of these technologies could radically reshape how financial transactions are conducted globally, moving away from reliance on traditional financial institutions.
Navigating Demographic Shifts
The fourth megatrend examines demographic shifts, particularly concerning global fertility rates. Oreshkin pointed out the increasing number of countries facing critical declines in population, with projections indicating a shrinking working-age demographic alongside a rising elderly population.
He elaborated, “Even in Africa, the elderly-to-working-age ratio will increase to 30%, globally reaching 56%." This anticipated demographic change poses serious challenges to pension systems and social services worldwide, as the demand for education diminishes while healthcare needs increase.
Emphasizing Human Capital Development
Lastly, the final megatrend highlighted human capital development in a technologically advanced era. Oreshkin articulated the potential of autonomous systems and digital platforms to transform work, education, and healthcare sectors.
“AI is both a challenge and an opportunity,” he noted, recognizing its capacity to facilitate personalized learning and support educators in their roles. The evolving job market will necessitate a retraining of workers, adapting to the demands of new professions while fostering systems that ensure active engagement in the aging population.
Global Implications and Perspectives
Oreshkin’s presentation was enriched with real-life examples from various continents. He illustrated how innovations in Africa could enhance education and healthcare, while Eastern Europe may witness improved living standards. Meanwhile, Asia will need to focus on reskilling its workforce to adapt to shifting labor demands.
According to Oreshkin, “The world has entered a period of significant change in finance, demography, and other spheres." The takeaway is clear: understanding and adapting to these megatrends will be essential for states, corporations, and individuals in shaping the future.
The Ongoing Dialogue
The Open Dialogue initiative has recognized the value of ongoing discussions by introducing a podcast format titled Open Dialogue on Air. This platform features conversations with global experts on key international development trends, furthering the exchange of ideas and strategies to respond to the dynamic challenges of our time.
With annual meetings established by presidential decree, the Open Dialogue platform aims to become a staple in global discourse. The ongoing collaboration illustrates a collective commitment to confronting the multifaceted challenges shaping our world today and tomorrow.
